Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Getting On Record (Quick Hits)

Joe Bo
Joe Borowski may be the first pitcher to go on a rehab assignment and come back with less velocity then when he left...he's pitched twice since coming back and his fastball is now in the 84-85 mph range...there is a no way a right hander can consistently get big league hitters out with that kind of velocity - especially in the late innings...the only guy who came close was Doug Jones - who was the Tribe's closer some 20 years ago and had the nastiest change-up I have ever seen...even Jones topped off around 87-88 MHP from time to time...the Tribe now officially needs to add closer to their list of needs along with a couple bats if they are serious about contending in '08.

Murderer's Row
The Tribe's middle of the line-up the past week has included the likes of Ben Francisco, Dave Delluci and Michael Aubrey...ouch...you can at least say this for Francisco, he has a quick bat inside...as for Aubrey, I don't see what scouts saw in him to make him such a high draft pick...he's not built like your prototypical first baseman...Aubrey is on the small side and doesn't look like he would ever put up the power numbers you ideally need from that position...I hope I am mistaken and he proves me wrong.

NFL
The NFL is going to a 17 game schedule if the owners can get the players to go along...I don't see why they don't make it an even 18 and have just two pre-season games...with all the "voluntary" and mantatory off-season mini-camps, the players stay sharp year round anyway...the pre-season games are all about avoiding injuries anyway.

Kobe
I was mistaken - Kobe's team lasted in the post-season longer than LeBron's...nonetheless, it still makes me sick to listened to observers of the game fawn over this guy...he's the same guy who threw his owner, GM and teammates under the bus the last two seasons...don't get me wrong, he's an amazing talent - the most difficult individual player to guard in the NBA since Michael Jordan, but he's still selfish as hell as far as I am concerned...it's still bugging me - I know.

LeBron
It will be interesting to see if LeBron takes a page from Kobe's book and publicly demands an upgrade in talent level around him or else...that has not been his style, but he has to be getting frustrated with the lack of consistency (aka: good players) around him...I am not pushing for a public display of dissatisfaction, but look for 23 to make it clear privately to Ferry and ownership he has to have major help real soon....A. Jamison and K. Henrich would help...

Z
Z told the media before packing his bags for the summer that the Cavaliers have enough talent on hand to win a title...right...Z is a nice guy, who went through a lot with his foot injuries...the local media has given him a pass because he's likeable and a good teammate...however, he has not earned his salary since signing his last major deal with the club, and I have yet to find one local reporter go on record with the obvious....Z, stop telling us you are good enough and start delivering more in the playoffs.

Pronk
Speaking of calling players out, it's time we finally unload on Pronk...I have waited long enough...no, he's not the only Indian struggling at the plate...but that should not be used as cover...unless he turns it around quickly, he will go down as the biggest singing mistake in franchise history - surpassing Wayne Garland's 10 year/$2 million deal in the mid 70s...and in Garland's case, they had an excuse - he got hurt...last time I checked, if you are a DH and don't hit a ton, you are useless to your club...the media keeps talking about how he's great in the clubhouse..nice...they aren't paying him $14 million a year to babysit...again, this is a case of a nice guy getting a free ride in town because the media that covers the club is tame and does not want to rock the boat...I'm sorry - this is a business, and if you are the highest paid player in franchise history and are not hitting your weight, you aren't just underachieving, you are crippling the club in two ways - yourt productivity has a trickle down effect on the line-up and your salary makes it difficult for the club to maneuver financially....Pronk is lucky he's not putting up these numbers in NY or Phily.

Wedge
I have never seen Eric Wedge call for a squeeze play in all the years watching him manage the team....mind you, I realize he does not have a roster full of players who can handle the bat and play "small ball" as some call it...I call it simply - fundamental baseball...but yesterday, in a tie game in the bottom of the ninth with a runner on third and one out, it SCREAMED for a squeeze...Astrubal Cabrera and his robust .183 BA was at the plate...last time I checked, he was a middle infielder who can handle the bat...and did I mention he was hiting .183 at the time?...yes I did...but it bears repeating... why not ask a guy who can bunt and is hitting .183 to squeeze?...he got the count to 2-0...I would have given him that one strike to drive the runner home on his own...however, once when it got to 2-1, it was time to lay it down...a suicide was in order in my book...go for broke...it's a 50-50 proposition with a guy who can handle the bat like Cabrera...instead, he got the green light and fouled off a pitch that almost hit him...he eventually struck out swinging...the point is Eric Wedge is waiting and waiting for players to snap out of it on their own...my point is there are times when you can take control as the manager and insert yourself into the mix - even with a club full of players who are one-dimensional.

Gamnmons
While I am taking shots, I'd like to add another to the list...this time it's Peter Gammons of ESPN..Gammons is known as one of the most foremost media authority on baseball...he's revered by many...whatever...last week, he was asked about the offensive numbers being down again this year and he beat around the bush talking about "the influx of terrific young pitchers" and some other nonsense...he should know better than that...that sells with 95% of those listening but no those few who "get it"...the numbers have dipped the past few years for one reason and one reason alone - NO MORE ROIDS....facts don't lie and neither do my eyes...guys that had huge necks and arms 6-7 years ago and looked like Hercules now look like mere mortals again...and I'm not just talking about corner outfielders, corner infielders and DH types...it includes just about everyone...Gammons should have spoken the truth - they (the league with a huge push from Congress) are cracking down, and the players have seen what's happened to those that have been outted...and thus have been scared straight...that's the truth, not some bull about good young arms or any other jive.

Mid-Range Jumper
I like watching the Pistons play for two reasons - they (mainly GM Joe Dumars) identified they had a good core, kept them together and built around the edges...they keep it simple and are patient...secondly, I enjoy watching Rip Hamilton come off screens and take 10-12 footers - the mid-range jumper...few NBA players have that in their repertoire anymore...it's usually either the long jumper or the drive to the basket...taking mid-range jumper means pulling up in traffic - something today's players like to avoid.

NBA Or MSL
Is it me or is the NBA becoming like soccer? I'm seeing way to many players flop after contact - especially on the way to the hoop...even 23 did it a few times this post-season...come on guys, get up and get back on defense and stop looking to get a call from the refs...this isn't soccer - at least not yet.

Sunday, May 18, 2008

Cavaliers Fall In Game #7 To Celtics

Okay, before the season started we predicted the Cavaliers would be a second round out in this year’s playoffs, only to change that pick and take Washington over Cleveland in round #1 of the 2008 playoffs based on Arenas’ return and how the Cavaliers were playing at the time – uninspired basketball as the regular season ended. Thankfully, our March instincts were off. You should always go with your first instincts.

We unfortunately go this series right, as Boston used home court advantage to win in seven – despite the excellent play of James in the season finale. His inspired play kept them within range and gave Cavs fans some faint hope.

We could give you a dozen reasons why the Celtics won, but that’s not necessary now is it? Remember - the Cavliers never led.

The main reason they lost is simple - 23 didn’t get enough help while Garnett’s running-mate – Paul Pierce - showed up huge with a 40+ night in the series finale.

There simply isn’t much else to say in terms of the Cavaliers. It's Groundhog Day every night with them. They are the only NBA team without at least two legitimate scorers, and until management gets 23 a legitimate running-mate, it will be more of the same – LJ trying to carry 11 other guys over the finish line while hoping a couple of his friends help with the final kick.

Gibson was their most consistent role player in the post-season in 2007, but unfortunately, he was slowed by injuries this season, and unavailable in game #7. Had he been present, it might have made a difference, but then again, if Norwood doesn’t go wide right against the Giants in the Super Bowl, Bill Belichick (the cheater) might not be heading to Canton someday to be indicted in the Pro Football HOF. We’ll make sure to be out of town for that induction ceremony.

As for the game, I though Mike Brown did a solid job coaching with one noticeable exception – James should NEVER have come out of the game in the second quarter. When he did, we cringed, and acted like a fan yelling at the tv set hoping Brown coud hear my objection. He didn't. More importantly, what followed was his team being outscored 5-0 during that ugly stretch – and that was basically the difference in the contest.

They (Cavaliers) went from down six to down 11 quickly during that brief 1+ minute stretch 23 sat. To his credit, Brown did get him back in quickly, realizing he needed LJ on the floor to stop the bleeping.

If LJ asked to come out, we take back our criticism of Brown, but if it was a coach’s decision – it was a bad one. We noted in our last entry prior to tip-off, James needed to be on the floor for the full 48 today. Now, unfortunately, he has all summer to rest.

Look, they (Cavs) didn’t win as many games as last year and certainly were not as consistent at either end of the floor. Management tried a remedy – making a huge trade to change the make-up of the team – including bringing in three new starters. But in the end, all that did was shuffle the deck. We liked the deal, but re-iterated that no impact players were added with the move, and subsequently, they lost to a better team in Boston in the playoffs.

Now it’s up to Danny Ferry to go back to work and add the following before the 2008-09 season begins - acquire a legitimate scorer that you can count on for 18-20 points a night (Antwan Jamison sounds about right) and add more overall athleticism to the roster.

Otherwise, it will be more of the same for James and company next year, no matter how they dress it up.

Saturday, May 17, 2008

Game #7 Prelude

Game #7 Prelude
Based on history and current circumstances, Cavalier fans should not be expecting James & company to be playing next week. The odds of winning a game #7 in Boston are slim at best – even with arguably the planet’s best player wearing a wine and gold uniform.

Why you ask?

There is a reason teams fight so hard in the regular season for home court advantage. Playing a game #7 in your building gives you a decisive edge.

First, players, has we have stated over and over again, are more comfortable and generally play better in familiar surroundings (see Celtics’ point-guard Rondo’s numbers in the series).

Secondly, the officials let you get away with more holding, shoving and generally, more physical play in your building. That blocking call against you on the road turns into a charge in your favor more often than not at home, etc… etc…

The opposition’s role players tend to be out to lunch on the road. The crowd, the intensity the defenders display and the magnitude of the game often overwhelms average players in huge game as this one upcoming.

The home team also gets a great lift from the home fans, which are right on top of the action in a basketball arena. Coaches don’t have to worry about players not being ready to give 110% because the fans make sure everyone wearing the home whites will be charged up to perform.

Of all the major team sports, playing in your building in basketball gives the home team the largest advantage going in and the greatest margin for error for those reasons above and more.

Does this mean the Cavaliers have no chance to advance? Of course not. But here is a sober assessment of what must happen for the Cavaliers and Pistons to meet in the conference semi-finals next week.

Obviously, LJ must have a monster game. My 10-year daughter even knows that.

He was on pace for such a contest in game #5 with his team up three at intermission and James sitting on 23 points at the break. Unfortunately, the Celtics adjusted at halftime and James became passive in the third quarter, leading to an eventual Celtic victory. That can’t happen on Sunday.

James must have a huge all-around game from beginning to end. He must score early and often (40+ sounds about right), distribute effectively, control tempo, rebound the basketball, defend and make big plays and the right decisions with the ball down the stretch in order for the Cavaliers to win.

That’s asking a lot, but the Cavs' roster dictates he plays huge tomorrow if the Cavaliers have any hope of advancing.

His teammates will of course need to give him some help. The loss of Gibson hurts. Last year, Gibson delivered from time to time on the road in the playoffs. He won’t be in uniform tomorrow due to injury. That means Wally, Z and Joe Smith must all get in double figures – with one of the three having a big offensive game, perhaps 20or more, to get them over the top.

The Celtics will simply not allow James alone to beat them.

If you watch the first half replay of game #5, Boston did not tilt its defense in James’ direction as much in the first half of that contest as it did in the previous four games. As a result, James had 23 at the break and the Cavaliers led. That changed in the second half. The Celtics will make someone else besides James beat them tomorrow, so the role players – all 11 of them – must be ready to contribute.

The Cavaliers as a team must be strong with the basketball in game #7.

Too many times in this series in Boston, Cleveland players has had the ball knocked loose or players have stumbled while trying to make plays, which led to turnovers and buckets at the other end. James, West and Wally especially must take better care of the ball. All three have had their moments turnover-wise. James has made bad decisions with the basketball while Wally and West have not been strong with the ball on the road.

Remember, the officials will allow the Celtics to grab, hold and shove at home. That’s just life in the NBA, on the road, against a good defensive team that accumulated 66 wins in the regular season. No use complaining about it – just play through it.

Coach Mike Brown must also push all the right buttons.

If it means playing James 48 minutes if the game dictates that - so be it. If it means giving the Celtics a new look - go for it. If it means going very small and making sure all five players on the floor can score the basketball - do it. That would mean Wallace and Andy both on the bench at the same time for stretches.

The Cavalier coaching staff must also use timeouts wisely and not allow the Celtics to have 10-0 or 12-2 runs. One of those runs could spell the end of the Cavalier season.

Furthermore, Cleveland is one of the worst teams in the league at coming up with positive offensive possessions off time-outs – that’s coaching. Brown and friends must improve in that area immediately.

Good free throw shooting is especially imperative on the road. The Cavaliers, and James especially who should spend a lot of time at the stripe, need to be at 80% or better.

Finally, the Cavaliers must close out quarters much better in Boston. The Cavaliers need to be mindful of that – especially on the road in a game #7.

They (Cavaliers) will also need some help.

Two of Boston’s best three players – Garnett, Pierce and Allen – must be controlled in order for the Cavs to expect to advance. Defensively, that’s a difficult task, but so far in the series, that has happened more often than not – especially with Allen, who seems frustrated and confused at times.

In order to slow down their top offensive weapons, the Cavaliers must continue to give the Celtic role players open looks. That allowed Rondo to have a huge game #5 at home, but he turned in a poor performance in game #6 in Cleveland against the same defensive philosophy. The Cavaliers have no choice. They must hope Rondo and company don’t play well tomorrow. If they do, you tip your hat and go on vacation for the summer.

The rebounding will also be key tomorrow. If the Cavaliers can rebound misses effectively and get out and run, the defense will not have time to set up and take James' penetration away. The Cavs need to force the action in the open court and you can't do that without forcing misses and getting the board.

And finally, bench play will be huge in game #7.

Prior to Gibson going down, one could make the argument the Cavalier bench, at six through eighth, was one of the best in the league with Gibson, Andy and Joe Smith as the first three to see action. With Gibson out, that changes the equation. Regardless, Andy, Smith and company will need to give the Cavaliers quality minutes tomorrow.

After all this, the bottom line remains the same however – none of this matters unless 23 dominates. He’ll be the best talent on the floor – so they have a chance.

This is a perfect stage for James to build on the legacy he started last year in game #5 versus the Pistons – where he single-handedly carried the Cavaliers to victory in a hostile environment. That one game did more for his reputation than any single game he’s played to date.

It’s time for a sequel.

If LJ goes off tomorrow and the Cavaliers advance winning a game #7 in Boston against a team that has not lost at home in the playoffs and accumulated a league-best 66 regular season wins, then he truly has taken the next step toward greatness.

Unfortunately, like we said when this series started - we liked Boston in seven and still do. Our heart says James and company can do it, but our basketball IQ tells us otherwise.

Indians
At the quarter mark, it is time for a quick Cleveland Indian evaluation.

The starting pitching, with the noticeable exception of CC’s April meltdown, has been very good. The starters have more than kept the Tribe in games to date.

The bullpen has been mediocre at best. That’s the one major difference between the Indians of 2007, when they had the best pen in the game, and 2008.

The defense has been average.

This team simply does not have many outstanding individual defensive players – but they are getting better. Sizemore is excellent in center (a Gold Glove winner), Gut is very good in right and Cabrera is very good in the middle infield. At the beginning of 2007, out of the three mentioned, only Sizemore was on the roster.

The offense has been dreadful.

Last year, several players had solid seasons. So far in 2008, the Indians do not have one player that is overachieving or having what can be considered a good season at the plate. Hafner’s continued struggles have had a ripple effect throughout the line-up. Victor is not getting many pitches to drive – even though his average is above .300, the Indians have used a number of different line-ups, and they continue to strike out too much as a team.

What is most frustrating for those that understand the art of hitting is the fact that they are giving up at bats, not working the count nor making adjustments in-game. This means either they are lacking in concentration or not listening to Eric Wedge and company. Either way, that is not a good sign.

What have they as an organization to adjust to their offensive woes – bring up Ben Francisco. Many felt he should have been on the roster from day one. That’s a start, but certainly not enough.

The good news is they are playing in what looks like a relatively weak division in 2008. How else do you explain everyone around .500 or under? With all their offensive woes and shaky bullpen,, the Indians are in first place in mid-May.

If the bullpen can get straightened out and half the line-up reaches its past productionn levels, they (Indians) should be in fairly good shape in that division.

We still believe a big bat is needed in the middle of that order, as we stated back in March. Cleveland will likely try to fill that need before the end of July trading deadline. Remember, it's usually easier to deal for a bat than an arm.

If you folks still don't like my pre-season Bary Bonds suggestion, how does Ken Griffey sound?

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Cavs Hold Serve & More

Cavs Hold Serve
We criticized LJ for his poor performances in Boston but noted the series was far from over with the Cavaliers returning home for a pair. Well, they held serve in their own building – as they should – and tied the series at two apiece. Congratulations.

Why did this happen? Simple. They (Cleveland) played better at both ends of the floor – like most teams do in their building. Secondly, James was much more comfortable on the floor in games 3 & 4 even though his shooting touch remains poor.

Even though 23 his still having trouble making jumpers, he re-established himself as the best player on the floor in this series – especially in last night’s game #4 win. Doug Collins, the TNT analyst, noted wisely as such. That’s crucial to the Cavaliers, who need James active defensively, setting tempo offensively and getting teammates open looks, even when his shot isn’t falling.

You saw what usually happens with James out of the game last night when he picked up his third foul with nearly four minutes remaining in the second quarter. The Cavaliers struggled offensively without James on the floor. Remember – they have no one else that can create, so when James sits, the offense gets real ugly real quick. That's the residue effect of having 11 role players and one mega-star.

A key to game #4’s win involved James not picking up a quick fourth foul in the third quarter. He played smart basketball in that quarter – not forcing too much offensively, and not reaching defensively, thus avoiding a potential critical fourth foul and having to sit a spell.

The game itself was arguably the best contest I have seen this season in terms of pure basketball. Both teams executed their defensive strategies effectively and competed hard at both ends for the full 48 minutes. The officials also let them play, with the exception of a touch foul called on James on a blow by move. The refs allowed the game to be decided on the floor, not at the line.

In the end, Wally Z and B. Gibson punished the Celtics just enough for their constant titling of the defense toward 23, Andy V played outstanding defense on Kevin Garnett late and James was enough of a force to get it done and win a crucial game #4.

Other observations from phase II (Cavs at home in games #3 & #4)

Shoot Rondo Shoot
We like how Mike Brown has decided to roam from R. Rondo and make the young point guard shoot perimeter jumpers…this corner is a big proponent of identifying the opponent’s weakest scorers, doubling off those individuals and making them make decisions with the basketball…if Rondo and Kendrick Perkins make buckets, so be it…for the Cavs however, it’s extremely wise for them to attempt to minimize the shots Garnett, Allen and Pierce take.

Activity On The Offensive Glass
One disappointing note still remains in terms of a lack of offensive rebounding from Big Ben and Andy…they just don’t seem as active as they should be on the offensive glass keeping possessions alive…obviously some credit must go to the Celtic defenders for keeping them off the glass...nevertheless, with as much attention as James is getting, there are avenues for them to make their presence felt off missed shots.

TNT Observations
The best analyst observation from the two games in Cleveland came once again from Charles Barkley, who noted last night the Celtics do not have many outstanding individual defenders on their team even though they are considered by most experts as the league’s best defensive unit…yes, Kevin Garnett was the Defensive Player of the Year, but no one else on that roster is a lock down defender…secondly, Barkley noted the Celtics do not get many easy looks at the hoop…basically, they are a team that walks it up the floor and must make jump shots to win…obviously, that formula has worked this season with a league-best 66 wins…however, when a team defends them well, as the Cavaliers did in their building, the Celtics are vulnerable.

Reminder
For those so-called ‘experts” who are now jumping off the Celtic bandwagon, we remind you that Boston is the only team in the playoffs that does not have to win on the road to win a title…is that likely to happen?... of course not…however, until someone steals one in Boston, they (Celtics) are still in the driver’s seat.

Gambler’s Delight
I assume smart gamblers made a lot of money this past week with teams like San Antonio, Cleveland, and Utah all going home and taking a pair after being down 2-0…all three of these teams have two things in common…first, they are veteran clubs that are difficult to beat at home, and secondly, and more important, they defend…we had an inkling all three of these teams would even up their individual series…of course, we don't advise gambling, unless you happen to reside in Vegas, but common sense won out this past week in the NBA playoff...as we have said over and over again, good defensive teams give themselves a chance…combine that with playing in familiar surroundings, and you have a formula for success…now, taking it on the road is another matter…it’s our guess, San Antonio is the most likely of the three candidates to come back from 0-2 to win their series…besides, we picked the Spurs prior to the season starting to win the title both in ’07 and again in ’08…so we’ll continue to ride that horse…I would not mind seeing the Spurs lose however…that would make it very interesting and would guarantee a “new sheriff in town.”

Bottle It
If the Cavaliers could bottle their defensive effort from last night (game #4) and take it with them on the road, they would have a legitimate chance to win the 2007-08NBA Championship…overall, the stats indicate they have played much better defense in the 10 playoff games than in the regular season, when they were still searching for an identity following the trade…they have allowed more than 90 points in only two of the 10 playoff games played so far…that’s good, but expected to a degree, because the games slow down in post-season due to familiarity between teams playing each other so much.…however, last night’s effort was especially outstanding…they kept guard penetration to a minimum, played excellent team defense in terms of rotating and closing out on shooters and they had very few communication breakdowns that led to easy baskets.

The Bad News
A warning…I find it very difficult to believe Paul Pierce and Ray Allen will continue to struggle offensively for the rest of the series…one or both should be expected to go off in game #5 in Boston…they are at home, their team needs them badly, they should be personally embarrassed with their play and they are way overdue to play well.

The Good News
The series has reaches its final phase/stage, pick your term…now it’s a short three-game series…the Cavaliers have only one advantage – they have the best player and he is capable of putting his team on his back and carrying them to victory (see Cavs-Pistons, game #5, ’07 playoffs)…it will take a huge effort from James on the road for the Cavaliers to advance…though he will likely have two shots at it…unfortunately, we still like the Celtics in seven.

Tony Romo
This guy would make me nervous if he were my teammate… he takes a mini vacation with his woman during the playoffs last winter…he then tries to qualify for a golf tournament, and when he failed to make the cut, blames the fact that he couldn’t get enough practice rounds in because football was taking up much of his time...then he shows up at Wrigley and makes his singing debut during the seventh inning stretch…mind you, all this is harmless fun and Romo-backers will say he’s just living his life...I get it…but still, he would be well-advised to attract less attention to himself…otherwise, if/when he fails on the field, critics will go to his off the field exploits as an easy out to criticize...by the way, he’s not that good…he is one of the better second tier quarterbacks in a league of very mediocre signal-callers…the first tier has the HOF’s of course – Manning, Brady and Favre…the second tier includes Romo and whoever you want to plug in this week (i.e. Palmer, Hasselbeck, etc…)

OJ Mayo
Let me get this right…OJ Mayo sends USC a fax TELLING them he is going to play collegiate basketball for Southern CAL for just one year even though they did NOT recruit him…he does this because his wants to maximize his exposure - or so we are told to believe...Tim Floyd, the head coach, doesn’t see anything wrong with this picture and accepts Mayo’s kind gesture…the season come and goes, Mayo jumps ship like he said he would and now we hear he allegedly took money – breaking NCAA rules…WHAT A SHOCKER…of course, Floyd and company will say all the right things, like the kid was a good student, fine teammate, etc…and that the coaching staff was unaware of any wrongdoing...besides, you can’t be expected to watch these kids 24-7, etc…etc…BULL…Mayo got what he wanted, which was exposure for himself in the nation’s second biggest media market (LA) before turning pro and Floyd and SC got what they wanted – a talented player to help them compete for attention with UCLA in their backyard, if only for one year…if serious violations did occur, I hope the NCAA throws the book at Floyd and SC…a blind man could have seen this one coming.

Tribe Shortstops
Astrubal Cabrera has been playing more SS lately for the Indians and playing it well. we mentioned late last summer that Cabrera should be the team’s SS and Peralta’s mediocre glove but solid bat (20 HR/75+ RBI seasons) would be better off at 2B…they did not take our advice – yet…but again, we re-iterate the obvious to anyone who has ever played in the middle of the diamond – you want you best defensive middle infielder at SS if possible…with the Indians, it’s possible…Cabrera would upgrade the SS position and the team would be better off for it…better yet, ask the Indian pitchers in private who they would rather have playing SS...this is not a knock at Peralta, it just makes sense.

Mike Diantonio
All the media pundits are saying former Suns’ Head Coach Mike Diantonio going to New York to coach the Knicks is a "bad fit" because that franchise does not have similar personnel the Suns have to run his up tempo style offense…question – What team with a coaching vacancy has Steve Nash and company on their roster? Answer – NONE…yes, Chicago would have made more sense for him – they have much younger and better overall athletic talent than the Knicks – but who doesn’t?…but that gig didn’t happen for reasons unknown and Diantonio is headed to NY…Donnie Walsh got himself a good NBA coach…Diantonio’s system in terms of winning games works (note I did not say winning championships) …the problem is not with the new coach, it’s with the players in NY and will remain so no matter who takes that head coaching position…of course he’s (Diantonio) likely to be a better fit than say, Mark Jackson, a current analyst, who the pundits were pushing...Jackson, a solid former NBA point guard, has as much NBA coaching experience as you or I do…the talking heads don’t see it that way…Jackson played in New York, he played for Walsh in Indiana and he can “relate” to the players because he was recently one of them…yea, right, S. Marbury, a noted “coach killer” would listen to Jackson but not Diantonio...look, we have nothing against Jackson, but if we were in Walsh’s shoes, we would have likely done the same thing – hire a coach who has had a great deal of success in this league and follow up that hire by blowing up the roster and get the new coach his type of players.

Robbie Gould
Relax Bear fans, all is well in George Halas land…the Chicago Bears have signed their place-kicker Robbie Gould through the 2013 season…he’s the most accurate kicker in team history (84.8%) according to the team’s press release…too bad they can’t say the same thing about their quarterback (Rex Grossman) – who the team has resigned in a clear attempt at water-boarding Bear fans for yet another season…the signing of RG does make sense…the Bears’ offensive mission statement reads as follows – “Don’t turn it over, punt well if we must, and if we are somehow fortunate enough to get in field goal range, make sure Robbie gets us 3"...no mention of scoring touchdowns anywhere.

Friday, May 9, 2008

LJ A No-Show In Phase I

It’s not the 8-for-42 shooting that has me dumbfounded – those things happen. It is the bad decisions with the basketball – including 17 turnovers in two games, and the general tentativeness with which he is playing that has me wondering why 23 looks lost in the second round of the playoffs (down 2-0) versus the Celtics.

Granted, this is the first time I have seen LJ have back-to-back poor performances in big games. He usually bounces back quickly. The likelihood is the comforts of playing at home in games #3 & #4 should propel James & company to playing much better and prolonging this series.

However, the truth is this – James needs to play extremely well ON THE ROAD if the Cavaliers have any chance of advancing beyond round #2. We can excuse one bad effort from "The King", but not two.

He needs to step up and lead his team to a pair of wins at home, thus evening the series. But he also needs to dominate in Boston and give his team a chance at a series win. So far he's been MIA in Boston.

A decent performance from James in game #1 and the Cavaliers would be in the driver’s seat at 1-1 heading back home just needing to hold serve in order to win the series. Call it a missed opportunity.

Instead, what we have is a tentative LJ, settling for jumpers instead of taking it strong to the basket or backing defenders down, all the while turning it over at an alarming rate. And we have rarely heard his number called on the defensive end either.

Chris Paul is dominating his series after three games played and Kobe is playing well up 2-0 in his series while collecting the 2007-08 MVP trophy.

Meanwhile, James is 8-for-42 from the field with 17 turnovers while looking lost in Boston.

Like we said, one bad game can happen, but back-to-back horrid performances – which include terrible cross court passes that are stolen, missed layups, and one paint-stripping long jumper after another from long range cannot be excused – not by “The Chosen One.”

Perhaps we were wrong when we claimed James was the league’s MVP and not Kobe or Paul. So far in this round of the playoffs, James is making the voters look smart.

In fact, after two games versus the Celtics, James is not even the best player on his own team. His long-time teammate and the league’s lone 7-3 jump shooting center (Z) has outplayed James by far. That is not what the Cavalier coaches, management and fans expected.

I know he can dunk like no other, I realize he’s a freak of nature and I understand the special basketball gifts he possesses, but I never thought I would have to question James’ basketball IQ or as the commercial said – “his court vision.”

Want an example. Okay. James is in a mismatch with a much smaller Sam Cassell in the third quarter of game #2, and instead of backing him down and taking him to the hole, he settles for a quick baseline fade away that clanks off the rim – giving up his size advantage and giving up the basketball once again with the miss.

One can expect that kind of decision-making from the likes of Sasha Pavlovic, but not from 23.

What has made James so special so early in his career is his ability to “understand the game.” For whatever reason - that judgment is lacking right now.

Yes, some credit should go to the Celtics. But this is the same Celtic team James torched in three games during the regular season. Yes, the Celtics are very good, but they are also the same Celtic team that needed seven games to knock off the sub-500 Atlanta Hawks.

As you know, we do not throw the word “great” around often. However, this is an appropriate time for its usage.

“Great” players MUST play well on the road and he (LJ) hasn’t come close to playing “well” – let alone dominating. And unless he gets it back quickly, the Cavaliers will suffer a playoff embarrassment reminiscent of last year’s Finals.

The good news is James still has time.

This series has now entered phase II – the Cavaliers are at home. James needs to "will his team" to a pair of wins and even this mess at 2-2. If he does, the series will enter the final phase (Phase III) – where “great” players earn their stripes and missed opportunities like game 1 are forgotten.

Other Notes - The Cavaliers will need to improve their talent level in terms of athletiscm in the off-season...even though we complained for over two years for Cavs management to add another all-star to help James, we did give our blessing to the mid-season 11-player mega trade...however, we also noted at the time, the Cavaliers were losing some athleticism in the deal and that would need to be addressed in the off-season...that has been evident in both playoff series so far...this leads us to our second point, even with the loss of Hughes and Gooden, this team is much better offensively when it runs - not allowing teams to double and triple James in the halfcourt, thus making other players on the roster who can't create their own shots score...however, when you decide to play up tempo, you usually lose "your edge" defensively (Suns, Mavs, Kings, etc...)...Mike Brown and company must find that compromise that allows for an identity at the offensive end without it hurting the team defense...that won't be easy...Chris Paul is fun to watch...we didn't think he would be "special" coming out of college...boy, were we wrong...he looks like the next Steve Nash...the difference - Nash has more range on his jumper, but Paul is stronger and a better defender.

Wednesday, May 7, 2008

Cavaliers - Celtics & Kobe's MVP

Cavaliers – Celtics Game #1
LJ just had a bad game. It’s as simple as that. He got enough help from Z and Wally, but when your best player goes 2-for-18 and turns it over 10x, you won’t win –especially on the road against a very good team.

Part of the problem dates back to what we observed well over a year ago – James needed to spend the bulk of the off-season working on his post-up game for contests such as these. He obviously didn’t and it cost them in game #1 against the Celtics.

When your perimeter shot isn’t falling, why not go down on the block and give the defense a different look?

Mike Brown hasn’t posted James up all season long. Yesterday, would have been the perfect time to tell 23 to get his $#@ down low and force the Celtics to double down.

Obviously, James isn’t comfortable in the block. That’s too bad. As we said in the past – he should be the best post-up player in the game. He’s too big and strong at 6-8/250 for players his size or smaller and too quick and athletic for legitimate post players to cover him down there.

When you go 2-for-18, you need to try something different. He didn’t and the coaching staff (all six of them by my count) didn’t make any adjustments.

Last Possession
On the Celtics last possession, when Kevin Garnett took Joe Smith to the hole, the Cavaliers were caught without the right defenders on the floor. It wasn’t anyone’s fault. They were playing offense-defense down the stretch with personnel and got caught with Joe Smith covering Garnett while Ben Wallace was on the bench. Had a timeout been called before that possession, Brown would have made the switch and gotten his best defensive team on the floor. Give the Celtics credit for working the right match-up and Garnett kudos for converting in the clutch.


Screen & Role
Whether it was by accident or called from the bench, we were happy to see the Cavaliers run two screen & roles with LJ & Gibson down the stretch. That combination is a much tougher cover for a defense than running it with LJ either Wallace or Andy – as we have said many times in the past.

Glass Half Full & Empty
Some will look at game #1 and claim the Cavaliers are in good shape since their best player had a horrible game and yet they were within one three-pointer of winning in Boston. Others will note two of the Celtics’ three best players never showed up (Paul Pierce & Ray Allen) and that isn’t likely to happen again.

In reality, this was a physical, defensive oriented Eastern Conference game with one team’s best player (Garnett) making two huge buckets down the stretch to win in. His 16 footer from the wing with the Cavaliers up two with about a minute to play was arguably as important as his game-winner.

Congratulations to Garnett for coming up big in game #1.

Sam I AM
I am a big fan of veteran players - especialy in big games. Sam Cassell made a pair of huge threes in the fourth quarter for Boston. That's why he was brought in - to make plays in the clutch come playoff time. Wally Z and company were brought in by Danny Ferry for the same reason. We shall see if they deliver.

Different Look
A piece of advice for coach Brown and his staff. If he (23) is incapable of posting up, once in a while, please have James coming off screen and finishing plays instead of initiating them all the time. Charles Barkley and other objective observers have harped on this time and time again.

The bottom line is this – give the opposition different looks, making it as difficult as possible to defend your best player – especially when plan A isn’t working (i.e, 2-for-18).

Kobe Gets MVP
What a difference a few months make. Kobe Bryant, team sports most selfish player, whined all off-season he wanted out of LA. This isn’t the first time he showed his selfish side – see Kobe/Shak Era.

Most in the media hammered Bryant back in October. Now the same media are applauding and gushing over Kobe for winning his first MVP award. Not me – I have a long memory.

Kobe earned the MVP award mainly because the Lakers’ organization added real talent this past season – including the mid-season Memphis gift P. Gasol.

Yes, Bryant played well – no one has ever questioned his talent level. But he also played on a team with one of the toughest front court covers in the league – Lamar Odom – who is a walking triple double when he feels like playing, Gasol and his 18/10every night and high basketball IQ, and one of the league's deepest benches.

Kobe, contrary to current media spin, has not suddenly turned into a “terrific team player” as some have asserted. Nothing has changed in Kobe’s approach. What has changed is the talent level around him.

Now, you can say Kobe going public with his constant “trade me” threats the past two years forced the organization to make moves to improve the roster dramatically to keep him happy and in LA. We will not argue that point.

But let’s not try to rewrite history. It’s time for a real world timeline now.

Bryant helped facilitate Shak’s departure from LA when the pair had three championship rings and looking for more. That's a first and an extremely selfish act.

His coach, Phil Jackson, then proceeded to rip Bryant in his book basically reinforcing the image that Bryant was extremely difficult to coach.

This was followed by Kobe spending the better part of the past two years ripping the organization for not surrounding him with enough talent.

Now we are expected to believe Kobe is really a team player who “loves” his teammates. Right.

We congratulate Bryant for winning his first MVP award, but we also want it on record as to how he got there.

Monday, May 5, 2008

Random Thoughts, 5-5-08

S.S. Cedric Benson
The Chicago Bears’ Cedric Benson is in trouble with the law following a boating incident. Our first impression of Mr. Benson took place on draft day several years ago when the Bears made him the fourth pick overall in the draft. We remember the ESPN interview immediately after he was chosen. Let’s just say he didn’t sound as though he majored in physics.

We immediately wondered how he was going to learn an NFL playbook and why any team would make him such a high pick based on witnessing that interview alone. And now we hear he’s got the law on his back. Nice pick Chicago. This guy had “underachiever” written all over him and we didn’t need to see any game film of him to make that call. It just makes you wonder what some of these pro teams are thinking – time and time again.

We have said it often – just because some folks have titles that indicate they have special knowledge, doesn’t make it so.

This one (Cedric Benson) is unfortunately for you (MI). We told you so.

Zito & CC
Is it me, or is CC Sabathia ordering a larger uniform with each passing season? The guy looks huge, even for CC. I wonder if the recent demotion to the bullpen of B. Zito in S.F. will scare off any potential suitors for the Indians’ lefty at season’s end.

I doubt that will be the case. Zito’s numbers were slipping prior to his signing with SF. The only way CC doesn’t get a multi-year deal worth $20 million a season or more is if he goes down with an in jury or loses several MPH on his fastball this summer.

Hitting Woes
The Indians are hitting like its 1968. Even their best hitter – Victor Martinez, who is batting over .300 – hasn’t homered yet. It’s contagious and a cause for concern. However, since no one in the division is pulling away, there is still plenty of time for the offense to rebound.

The problem is this team is one-dimensional and has been for several years. There is very little team speed, they don’t hit behind runners when necessary and can’t bunt. Plus, Eric Wedge has been reluctant in the past to play small ball based on his team’s limitations. Therefore, all they (Shapiro/Wedge) can do is wait it out as if it’s a flu that has to run its course. They have very few options.

However, if the team’s offensive slump last another month, there will be pressure on Shapiro to make a major move and try to add a big bat in the middle of the order. As we have said often - the Indians have the pitching depth to make that happen.

Cavaliers – Celtics
Okay, since we picked Washington over the Cavaliers, we probably have very little credibility here. However, in our defense, that pick was made based on logic – the Cavaliers were not playing well the past two months at either end of the floor and we were expecting a healthy Gilbert Arenas to contribute heavily. Regardless, LJ proved once again why he is the game’s best player – carrying the Cavaliers to a 4-2 series win.

We did forget one of our basic commandments when making that call – always pick the better defensive team. The Cavaliers, even with all their woes going into the playoffs, were a better defensive unit than Washington - even though it did not look that way in February and March.

Live and learn.

We’ll go with the Celtics in seven in round #2. They have three outstanding players and defend well – something the Wizards don’t do. Besides, at the outset of the season, we picked the Celtics and Spurs to meet in the NBA Finals. Why change now? Of course, if James gets some help, anything can happen. He’s that good.

Watch the Ben Wallace - Kevin Garnett match-up closely. If Wallace can handle him one-on-one, the Cavaliers will be able to play Allen and Pierce straight up – thus limiting their open looks. If Wallace needs help, the Cavaliers will be in big trouble.

One positive note for the Cavaliers – Wally Z had a playoff career-best 26 points in game #6 versus the Bullets. That’s right; I still refuse to be politically correct. If Wally can find his stroke against Boston, the Cavaliers will be able to space the floor effectively with Gibson and Wally, and thus make the Celtics pay for double-teaming 23.

MVP
I am still trying to figure out why James’ name doesn’t come up any more in the league MVP voting conversation. The word is out and Kobe looks like he is taking that trophy home for the first time in his career. I wonder where Kobe would be in the MVP conversation if Memphis had not gift-wrapped P. Gasol to LA in mid-season.

We also keep hearing about the great year Chris Paul has had. Since we did not see much of Paul during the regular season, we won’t comment further. Obviously, he has had a terrific year and is certainly the league’s best player at 6-0 and under.

As for James – he seems to be a victim of his own amazing consistently. He is expected to put up 30-8-8 on a nightly basis. Who else can do that? No one playing today. He is the closest thing to Oscar Robertson the league has seen since “The Big O” roamed the court some 40 years ago.

As we have said in the past, no one has ever done more with less. We still wonder what James could accomplish playing next to another true all-star. We may not find that out until he ops out of town when his contract allows him to. Okay, we won’t go there now. That’s three years down the road. Why put everyone in a bad mood when it’s not necessary.

Great Expectations
Memo to the Browns’ brain trust – you haven’t won anything yet!

The head coach (Romeo Crennel) and the GM (Phil Savage) both recently received contract extensions even though their contracts were not up. The organization, fans, and media are all expecting big things from this team in 2008. Anything less than a post-season appearance would be a huge disappointment – and rightfully so.

What happens if they take a step backwards in 2008? With a more difficult schedule this fall following last year’s ‘sister of the poor” itinerary and more pressure on the players and coaches to perform, that is a possibility.

No excuses please. This team better make the playoffs or a lot of questions will be asked – beginning with why give Crennel and Savage extensions prior to earning them.

Roger Clemens
What the hell was he thinking going forward with a lawsuit of his former trainer who claimed he (Clemens) cheated to get an edge? This guy is either the most pompous athlete in the history of U.S. team sports - which is really saying something - or he got the most horrendous legal advice imaginable.

When you take someone to court, they are allowed to respond. Did Roger actually believe, his, shall we say "interest in the opposite sex" would not be made public?

Clemens is not the first pro athlete with such an appetite. But it didn't have to become public. You would think for his family's sake, Clemens would have had better sense and left well enough alone.

I cannot remember another athlete who has fallen faster than Clemens in terms of his standing in the game, his reputation and legacy. It would be tragic if not for the fact that much of it was self-inflicted.

Arrogance is truly a deadly vice.

Separated At Birth
Magic Head Coach Stan Van Gundy and one of the porn industry's all-time greats - Ron Jeremy.